Idioma:Español
Pachuca v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pachuca (Local)
Predicción 59.53%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.712%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.32%59.48%59.54%63.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.531.541.6672.46%65.19%64.72%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 17.24%5.80momio equitativo
EV +7.77%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.48%
Crecimiento +0.115%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.04%17.28%17.13%19.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.455.476.2522.22%18.35%18.26%16.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.23%4.31momio equitativo
EV +0.575%
Ventaja +0.133%
Kelly +0.173%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.86%23.24%23.32%25.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.14%25.00%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pachuca (Local): 59.53%; Puebla (Visitante): 17.24%; Empate: 23.23%. Para Puebla (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.80. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.77%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.73%E -4.99%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +1.73%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.36%EV -4.07%E -0.986%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 02:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV +0.872%E +0.149%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -1.71%E -0.301%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.44%E -0.614%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -1.18%E -0.712%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.46%EV -4.99%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.52%E -6.26%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.14%EV -17.85%E -12.93%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.38%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.04%EV -7.75%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.80%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -7.32%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 02:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -11.90%E -8.04%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.11%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -15.22%E -4.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.94%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.71%E -7.14%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.32%E -5.41%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.06%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.51%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |