StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pachuca v Puebla

Matchstart: 2026-08-18 03:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Pachuca 2–3 Puebla

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pachuca (Hemma)

Prognos 59.53%1.68rättvist odds
EV -1.18%
Fördel -0.712%
Kelly -1.79%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.32%59.48%59.54%63.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.531.541.6672.46%65.19%64.72%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Puebla (Borta)

Prognos 17.24%5.80rättvist odds
EV +7.77%
Fördel +1.24%
Kelly +1.48%
Tillväxt +0.115%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.04%17.28%17.13%19.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.455.476.2522.22%18.35%18.26%16.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.23%4.31rättvist odds
EV +0.575%
Fördel +0.133%
Kelly +0.173%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.86%23.24%23.32%25.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.14%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Pachuca (Hemma): 59.53%; Puebla (Borta): 17.24%; Oavgjort: 23.23%. För Puebla (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.80. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.77%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:14
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.73%E -4.99%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:34
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-18 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +1.73%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.36%EV -4.07%E -0.986%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 02:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV +0.872%E +0.149%K +0.180%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:14
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -1.71%E -0.301%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 02:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.44%E -0.614%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 02:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -1.18%E -0.712%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.46%EV -4.99%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 02:54
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.52%E -6.26%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.14%EV -17.85%E -12.93%K -46.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-18 02:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 02:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.38%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 02:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.04%EV -7.75%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-18 02:49
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.80%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -7.32%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 02:54
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 02:54
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 02:48
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 02:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -11.90%E -8.04%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.11%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -15.22%E -4.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-18 02:54
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.94%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 02:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 02:49
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 02:49
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.71%E -7.14%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 02:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.32%E -5.41%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.06%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:49
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.51%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 02:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-18 02:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-08-18 02:54
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-18 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-18 02:55