Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pachuca v Puebla

Inizio: 2026-08-18 03:00 UTC

Finale: Pachuca 2–3 Puebla

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pachuca (Casa)

Previsione 59.53%1.68quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.712%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.32%59.48%59.54%63.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.531.541.6672.46%65.19%64.72%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Puebla (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.24%5.80quota equa
EV +7.77%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescita +0.115%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.04%17.28%17.13%19.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.455.476.2522.22%18.35%18.26%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.23%4.31quota equa
EV +0.575%
Vantaggio +0.133%
Kelly +0.173%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.86%23.24%23.32%25.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.14%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Pachuca (Casa): 59.53%; Puebla (Trasferta): 17.24%; Pareggio: 23.23%. Per Puebla (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.80. 14 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.77%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:14
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.73%E -4.99%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:34
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-18 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +1.73%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.36%EV -4.07%E -0.986%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 02:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV +0.872%E +0.149%K +0.180%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:14
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -1.71%E -0.301%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 02:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.44%E -0.614%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 02:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -1.18%E -0.712%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.46%EV -4.99%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 02:54
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.52%E -6.26%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.14%EV -17.85%E -12.93%K -46.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-18 02:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 02:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.38%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 02:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.04%EV -7.75%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-18 02:49
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.80%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -7.32%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 02:54
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 02:54
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 02:48
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 02:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -11.90%E -8.04%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.11%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -15.22%E -4.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-18 02:54
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.94%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 02:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 02:49
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 02:49
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.71%E -7.14%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 02:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.32%E -5.41%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.06%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:49
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.51%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 02:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-18 02:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-08-18 02:54
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-18 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-18 02:55