StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Necaxa v Monterrey

Matchstart: 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Necaxa (Hemma)

Prognos 27.64%3.62rättvist odds
EV +10.82%
Fördel +2.70%
Kelly +3.60%
Tillväxt +0.389%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.01

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.94%28.04%27.51%32.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.843.283.254.0135.21%30.46%30.77%24.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Borta)

Prognos 46.58%2.15rättvist odds
EV +4.81%
Fördel +2.14%
Kelly +3.85%
Tillväxt +0.185%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.19%46.30%46.67%49.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.902.001.982.2552.63%50.01%50.51%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.78%3.88rättvist odds
EV +1.06%
Fördel +0.271%
Kelly +0.363%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.59%25.67%25.82%26.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.603.603.9230.30%27.81%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Necaxa (Hemma): 27.64%; Monterrey (Borta): 46.58%; Oavgjort: 25.78%. För Necaxa (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.62. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.01, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.94%EV +10.82%E +2.70%K +3.60%G +0.389%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +0.596%E +0.164%K +0.226%G +0.001%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.363%G +0.004%3.5%2026-07-26 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +0.596%E +0.164%K +0.226%G +0.001%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.363%G +0.004%3.5%2026-07-26 22:55
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 22:55
Pinnacle🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -1.89%E -0.533%K -0.742%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.29%E -0.604%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 22:45
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.03%E -0.535%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 22:55
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.11%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.25%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:55
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:49
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.32%E -0.886%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:55
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 22:49
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 22:49
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.03%E -0.535%K -0.726%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:50
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 22:55
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -7.42%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 22:35
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 22:50
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -9.63%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -11.83%E -3.46%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 22:55
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 22:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 22:55
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:54
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:55
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 22:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 22:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 22:55
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:20
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 22:55
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 22:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -15.71%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 22:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -17.09%E -5.70%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-26 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -21.51%E -7.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV +4.81%E +2.14%K +3.85%G +0.185%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.74%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 13:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-07-26 22:55
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-07-26 22:50