Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Necaxa v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC

Score final : Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Necaxa (Local)

Prévision 27.64%3.62cote équitable
EV +10.82%
Avantage +2.70%
Kelly +3.60%
Croissance +0.389%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.94%28.04%27.51%32.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.843.283.254.0135.21%30.46%30.77%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.58%2.15cote équitable
EV +4.81%
Avantage +2.14%
Kelly +3.85%
Croissance +0.185%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.19%46.30%46.67%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.001.982.2552.63%50.01%50.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.271%
Kelly +0.363%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%25.67%25.82%26.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.603.9230.30%27.81%27.78%25.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Necaxa (Local) : 27.64% ; Monterrey (Visiteur) : 46.58% ; Match nul : 25.78%. Pour Necaxa (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.62. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.01, soit une espérance positive de +10.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.94%EV +10.82%E +2.70%K +3.60%G +0.389%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +0.596%E +0.164%K +0.226%G +0.001%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.363%G +0.004%3.5%2026-07-26 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +0.596%E +0.164%K +0.226%G +0.001%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.363%G +0.004%3.5%2026-07-26 22:55
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 22:55
Pinnacle🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -1.89%E -0.533%K -0.742%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.29%E -0.604%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 22:45
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.03%E -0.535%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 22:55
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.11%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.25%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 22:55
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 22:49
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.32%E -0.886%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 22:55
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 22:49
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 22:49
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.03%E -0.535%K -0.726%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:50
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 22:55
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -7.42%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 22:35
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 22:50
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 22:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -9.63%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -11.83%E -3.46%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 22:20
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 22:55
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 22:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 22:55
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:54
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 22:55
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 22:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 22:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 22:55
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 22:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 22:20
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 22:55
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 22:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -15.71%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 22:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -17.09%E -5.70%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-26 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -21.51%E -7.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV +4.81%E +2.14%K +3.85%G +0.185%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.74%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-07-26 22:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-07-26 22:55
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-07-26 22:50