A Escola das Odds

Necaxa v Monterrey

2026-07-26 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Previsão 30.91%3.24odd justa
EV +0.462%
Vantagem +0.142%
Kelly +0.205%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.16%31.05%30.86%32.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.003.003.2535.71%33.37%33.33%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Previsão 43.79%2.28odd justa
EV -0.596%
Vantagem -0.263%
Kelly -0.470%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.02%43.66%43.66%45.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.092.102.2751.81%47.76%47.62%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.30%3.95odd justa
EV +0.182%
Vantagem +0.046%
Kelly +0.061%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.18%25.30%25.47%26.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.603.9629.41%27.51%27.78%25.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV +0.462%E +0.142%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 12:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV +0.462%E +0.142%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 12:59
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 12:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.67%E -5.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 13:00
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -11.54%E -5.71%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 12:59
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.30%EV +0.182%E +0.046%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 01:20
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:00
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.90%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.95%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 22:35
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 05:59
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 06:00
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.461%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 23:04
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -13.30%E -6.71%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 13:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 16:29
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 06:10
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:19
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:23
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:25
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -15.49%E -8.02%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 12:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 22:49
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 23:05
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 12:25
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -9.74%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -9.74%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 02:34
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.96%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 16:29
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 22:49
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -11.90%E -4.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.02%EV -0.596%E -0.263%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -10.44%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 13:55
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -12.21%E -4.30%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -1.47%E -0.654%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -10.44%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -12.83%E -4.55%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.53%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 06:10
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 15:59
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 15:59
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 15:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 06:55
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:04
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 02:40