La scuola delle quote

Necaxa v Monterrey

2026-07-26 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

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49 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Necaxa (Casa)

Previsione 30.98%3.23quota equa
EV +0.695%
Vantaggio +0.214%
Kelly +0.309%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.16%31.06%30.99%32.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.27%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monterrey (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.67%2.29quota equa
EV -0.862%
Vantaggio -0.380%
Kelly -0.679%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.02%43.62%43.64%45.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.102.102.2751.81%47.70%47.62%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.34%3.95quota equa
EV +1.12%
Vantaggio +0.281%
Kelly +0.375%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.11%25.32%25.37%27.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.643.603.9929.41%27.50%27.78%25.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -3.02%E -0.966%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -6.98%E -3.28%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.11%EV +1.12%E +0.281%K +0.375%G +0.004%4.0%2026-07-26 09:10
LowVig.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.23%E -2.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.35%EV +0.616%E +0.155%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-26 09:05
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.23%E -2.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.35%EV +0.616%E +0.155%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-26 09:05
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:04
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 08:20
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 09:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -7.41%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 16:29
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 08:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV +0.695%E +0.214%K +0.309%G +0.002%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -9.16%E -4.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 12:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV +0.695%E +0.214%K +0.309%G +0.002%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -9.16%E -4.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 12:59
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 12:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.60%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 08:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 16:29
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.91%E -5.35%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 13:00
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -2.40%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -11.78%E -5.83%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 12:59
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.60%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 09:00
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19%EV -11.70%E -4.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.45%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.36%EV -7.49%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 08:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:10
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 08:50
betano_uk2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 09:05
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.95%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 08:56
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -4.79%E -2.20%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 03:29
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -4.79%E -2.20%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 05:44
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.60%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 08:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -13.53%E -6.83%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 13:00
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -11.70%E -4.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.02%EV -0.862%E -0.380%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 13:55
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -12.01%E -4.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 13:55
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.26%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.90%EV -4.36%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.79%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 22:35
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:04
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -15.71%E -8.14%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.80%E -3.39%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 16:29
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.72%EV -13.09%E -6.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -12.56%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 09:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 08:20
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 04:15
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 09:05
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 09:00
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 09:05
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 09:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-26 09:05
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-07-26 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-26 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-26 09:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-26 09:05
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-07-26 09:10
Arbitraggio (2 combinazioni) +0.12%ATG (SE) 3.25 (30.8%) / 1xBet 2.27 (44.1%) / Pinnacle 3.99 (25.1%)Mostra tutte le 2 combinazioni
Necaxa (Casa)Monterrey (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
ATG (SE) 3.25 (30.8%)1xBet 2.27 (44.1%)Pinnacle 3.99 (25.1%)+0.115%
Svenska Spel 3.25 (30.8%)1xBet 2.27 (44.1%)Pinnacle 3.99 (25.1%)+0.115%