La escuela de los momios

Necaxa v Monterrey

2026-07-26 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Predicción 30.91%3.24momio equitativo
EV +0.462%
Ventaja +0.142%
Kelly +0.205%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.16%31.05%30.86%32.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.003.003.2535.71%33.37%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Predicción 43.79%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.596%
Ventaja -0.263%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.02%43.66%43.66%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.092.102.2751.81%47.76%47.62%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.182%
Ventaja +0.046%
Kelly +0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.30%25.47%26.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.603.9629.41%27.51%27.78%25.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV +0.462%E +0.142%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 12:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV +0.462%E +0.142%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 12:59
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 12:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.67%E -5.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 13:00
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -2.63%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -11.54%E -5.71%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 12:59
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.30%EV +0.182%E +0.046%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 01:20
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 13:00
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.90%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.95%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 22:35
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 05:59
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 06:00
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.34%E -0.343%K -0.461%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 23:04
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.31%EV -13.30%E -6.71%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 13:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 16:29
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 06:10
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:19
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:23
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:25
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -15.49%E -8.02%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 12:59
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 22:49
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.16%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 23:05
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 12:25
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -9.74%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -9.74%E -3.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -2.79%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 02:34
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.96%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 16:29
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 22:49
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -11.90%E -4.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.02%EV -0.596%E -0.263%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -10.44%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 13:55
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -12.21%E -4.30%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -1.47%E -0.654%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -10.44%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -12.83%E -4.55%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.53%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 06:10
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 15:59
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 15:59
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 15:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 06:55
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 23:04
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-07-26 02:40