Idioma:Español
Necaxa v Monterrey
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Necaxa (Local)
Predicción 27.64%3.62momio equitativo
EV +10.82%
Ventaja +2.70%
Kelly +3.60%
Crecimiento +0.389%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.94%28.04%27.51%32.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.843.283.254.0135.21%30.46%30.77%24.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Monterrey (Visitante)
Predicción 46.58%2.15momio equitativo
EV +4.81%
Ventaja +2.14%
Kelly +3.85%
Crecimiento +0.185%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.19%46.30%46.67%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.001.982.2552.63%50.01%50.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.271%
Kelly +0.363%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%25.67%25.82%26.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.9230.30%27.81%27.78%25.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Necaxa (Local): 27.64%; Monterrey (Visitante): 46.58%; Empate: 25.78%. Para Necaxa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.62. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.01, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.94%EV +10.82%E +2.70%K +3.60%G +0.389% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +0.596%E +0.164%K +0.226%G +0.001% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.363%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +0.596%E +0.164%K +0.226%G +0.001% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.363%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -0.509%E -0.141%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -1.89%E -0.533%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.29%E -0.604%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.03%E -0.535%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.11%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.25%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.65%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.32%E -0.886%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.03%E -0.535%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -7.42%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -9.63%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -11.83%E -3.46%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -1.24%E -0.587%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -15.71%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -17.09%E -5.70%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.14%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -11.06%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -21.51%E -7.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV +4.81%E +2.14%K +3.85%G +0.185% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.74%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-20 13:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00% | 1.3% | 2026-07-26 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 22:50 |