Школа коэффициентовGuadalajara v Toluca
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Guadalajara (Хозяева)
Прогноз 48.14%2.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.831%
Преимущество -0.403%
Kelly -0.784%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.90%48.09%48.14%49.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.781.941.952.0656.18%51.51%51.28%48.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Toluca (Гости)
Прогноз 25.86%3.87справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.64%
Преимущество +0.416%
Kelly +0.559%
Рост +0.009%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.93
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.45%25.95%25.93%28.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.483.503.9332.26%28.76%28.57%25.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Ничья
Прогноз 26.00%3.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.21%
Преимущество -0.318%
Kelly -0.431%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.87%25.96%25.93%26.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.553.563.8030.30%28.13%28.05%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV +1.64%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -3.03%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.174%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.174%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.14%EV -1.21%E -0.316%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.02%E -0.805%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.24%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 01:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.60%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -1.21%E -0.318%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -6.12%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.79%EV -10.26%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-19 00:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-19 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -14.31%E -8.04%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-19 01:03 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-19 00:54 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-19 00:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -5.16%E -2.62%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -17.24%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-19 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-19 00:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 1.5% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 1.5% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |