Die Schule der Quoten

Guadalajara v Toluca

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-19 01:10 UTC

Endstand: Guadalajara 0–2 Toluca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Guadalajara (Heim)

Prognose 48.14%2.08faire Quote
EV -0.831%
Vorteil -0.403%
Kelly -0.784%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.90%48.09%48.14%49.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.781.941.952.0656.18%51.51%51.28%48.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Toluca (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.86%3.87faire Quote
EV +1.64%
Vorteil +0.416%
Kelly +0.559%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.45%25.95%25.93%28.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.483.503.9332.26%28.76%28.57%25.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.00%3.85faire Quote
EV -1.21%
Vorteil -0.318%
Kelly -0.431%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.87%25.96%25.93%26.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.553.563.8030.30%28.13%28.05%26.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV +1.64%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -3.03%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 01:05
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.174%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.174%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.14%EV -1.21%E -0.316%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 00:55
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.02%E -0.805%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 00:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 01:05
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 01:05
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.24%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 01:04
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.60%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -1.21%E -0.318%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:29
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 01:05
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -6.12%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 00:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:05
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 00:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 01:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 01:05
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 00:14
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 00:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:15
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 00:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.79%EV -10.26%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-19 00:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 00:55
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -14.31%E -8.04%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-19 01:03
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 00:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 00:55
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 00:54
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 00:15
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-19 00:35
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -5.16%E -2.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 00:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 00:20
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -17.24%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 00:50
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 00:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-07-19 01:05