مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guadalajara v Toluca

البداية: 2026-07-19 01:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Guadalajara 0–2 Toluca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guadalajara (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.14%2.08السعر العادل
EV -0.831%
الأفضلية -0.403%
Kelly -0.784%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.90%48.09%48.14%49.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.941.952.0656.18%51.51%51.28%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toluca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.86%3.87السعر العادل
EV +1.64%
الأفضلية +0.416%
Kelly +0.559%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.45%25.95%25.93%28.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.483.503.9332.26%28.76%28.57%25.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.00%3.85السعر العادل
EV -1.21%
الأفضلية -0.318%
Kelly -0.431%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.87%25.96%25.93%26.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.553.563.8030.30%28.13%28.05%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV +1.64%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -3.03%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 01:05
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.174%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.174%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.14%EV -1.21%E -0.316%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 00:55
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.02%E -0.805%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 00:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 01:05
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 01:05
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.24%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 01:04
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.60%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -1.21%E -0.318%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 00:29
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -5.60%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 01:05
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -6.12%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -3.29%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 00:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:05
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 00:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 01:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 01:05
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 00:14
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 00:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:15
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 00:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 01:05
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.79%EV -10.26%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-19 00:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 00:55
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -14.31%E -8.04%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-19 01:03
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 00:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 00:55
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 00:55
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 00:54
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 00:15
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-19 00:35
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -5.16%E -2.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 00:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 00:20
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -17.24%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 00:50
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 00:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-07-19 01:05