Language:English
Guadalajara v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Guadalajara (Local)
Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.05%45.86%46.03%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.022.1254.05%49.69%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV -0.233%
Edge -0.064%
Kelly -0.087%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%27.31%27.12%29.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.6732.26%30.07%29.85%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV +0.046%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.83%26.85%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.423.7333.33%29.37%29.20%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guadalajara (Local): 45.99%; Tigres (Visit): 27.18%; Draw: 26.82%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.728. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.730, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.046%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -1.05%E -0.288%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -2.90%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -0.233%E -0.064%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -4.25%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.51%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.66%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.593%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -8.47%E -4.26%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.63%E -3.27%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.69%E -6.09%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -13.99%E -7.48%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.61%E -6.64%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.29%E -3.76%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.57%EV -14.91%E -8.06%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.15%E -6.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -19.53%E -6.51%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |