La scuola delle quote

Guadalajara v Tigres

Inizio: 2026-05-10 01:07 UTC

Finale: Guadalajara 2–0 Tigres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Guadalajara (Casa)

Previsione 45.99%2.17quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.05%45.86%46.03%47.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.012.022.1254.05%49.69%49.50%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tigres (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.18%3.68quota equa
EV -0.233%
Vantaggio -0.064%
Kelly -0.087%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.13%27.31%27.12%29.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.333.353.6732.26%30.07%29.85%27.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.82%3.73quota equa
EV +0.046%
Vantaggio +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.79%26.83%26.85%28.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.403.423.7333.33%29.37%29.20%26.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 00:29
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -1.05%E -0.288%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -2.90%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 00:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:59
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -0.233%E -0.064%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -4.25%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 01:04
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 00:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:54
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:54
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 01:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.51%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 00:50
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.66%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:49
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.593%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 00:50
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 00:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 00:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 00:35
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -8.47%E -4.26%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 01:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:29
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.63%E -3.27%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 01:04
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 00:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 00:34
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 00:54
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 01:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 00:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.69%E -6.09%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 00:49
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 00:55
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-10 01:00
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -13.99%E -7.48%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.61%E -6.64%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.29%E -3.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 00:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 00:34
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 00:55
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 00:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:05
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.57%EV -14.91%E -8.06%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-10 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.15%E -6.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -19.53%E -6.51%K -9.77%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-10 00:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-10 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-10 01:05
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-05-10 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-05-10 01:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-05-10 01:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-05-10 01:05