L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Guadalajara v Tigres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 45.99%2.17cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.05%45.86%46.03%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.012.022.1254.05%49.69%49.50%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tigres (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.18%3.68cote équitable
EV -0.233%
Avantage -0.064%
Kelly -0.087%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.13%27.31%27.12%29.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.6732.26%30.07%29.85%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.046%
Avantage +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.83%26.85%28.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.423.7333.33%29.37%29.20%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -1.05%E -0.288%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -2.90%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -0.233%E -0.064%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -4.25%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.51%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.66%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.593%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -8.47%E -4.26%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.63%E -3.27%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.69%E -6.09%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -13.99%E -7.48%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.61%E -6.64%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.29%E -3.76%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.57%EV -14.91%E -8.06%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.15%E -6.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -19.53%E -6.51%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |