La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Guadalajara v Tigres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 45.99%2.17momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.05%45.86%46.03%47.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.012.022.1254.05%49.69%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tigres (Visitante)
Predicción 27.18%3.68momio equitativo
EV -0.233%
Ventaja -0.064%
Kelly -0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%27.31%27.12%29.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.353.6732.26%30.07%29.85%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.82%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.046%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.83%26.85%28.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.423.7333.33%29.37%29.20%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -1.05%E -0.288%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -2.90%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -0.233%E -0.064%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -4.25%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.51%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.66%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.593%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -8.47%E -4.26%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.63%E -3.27%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.69%E -6.09%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -13.99%E -7.48%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.61%E -6.64%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.29%E -3.76%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-10 00:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.57%EV -14.91%E -8.06%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.15%E -6.36%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -19.53%E -6.51%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 01:05 |