مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guadalajara v Tigres

البداية: 2026-05-10 01:07 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Guadalajara 2–0 Tigres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guadalajara (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.99%2.17السعر العادل
EV -2.49%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -2.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.05%45.86%46.03%47.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.012.022.1254.05%49.69%49.50%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tigres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.18%3.68السعر العادل
EV -0.233%
الأفضلية -0.064%
Kelly -0.087%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.13%27.31%27.12%29.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.333.353.6732.26%30.07%29.85%27.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.82%3.73السعر العادل
EV +0.046%
الأفضلية +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.79%26.83%26.85%28.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.403.423.7333.33%29.37%29.20%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +0.046%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 00:29
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -1.05%E -0.288%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -2.90%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 00:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.44%E -0.956%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:59
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -0.233%E -0.064%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -4.25%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 01:04
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 00:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:54
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:54
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 01:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.93%E -4.51%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 00:50
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.93%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.66%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:49
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.593%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 00:50
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 00:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 00:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 00:35
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -8.47%E -4.26%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 01:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:29
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.63%E -3.27%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 01:04
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 00:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 00:34
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 00:54
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 01:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 00:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.69%E -6.09%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 00:49
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 00:55
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-10 01:00
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -13.99%E -7.48%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.61%E -6.64%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.29%E -3.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 00:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 00:34
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 00:55
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.19%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.37%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 00:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.73%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 01:05
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.57%EV -14.91%E -8.06%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-10 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.15%E -6.36%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -19.53%E -6.51%K -9.77%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-10 00:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-10 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-10 01:05
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-05-10 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-05-10 01:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.6%2026-05-10 01:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-05-10 01:05