Language:English
Guadalajara v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Guadalajara (Local)
Prediction 73.67%1.36fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -11.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%73.68%73.73%76.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.241.251.3186.96%80.78%80.32%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 10.54%9.49fair odd
EV +21.18%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.427%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.28%10.44%10.56%11.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.359.0011.5013.33%10.69%11.11%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.79%6.33fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.54%15.88%15.70%17.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.816.006.5020.00%17.20%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guadalajara (Local): 73.67%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 10.54%; Draw: 15.79%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.49. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.478%G +0.013% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.43%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -13.80%E -11.80%K -81.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.46%EV -15.28%E -13.28%K -101.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.37%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.86%EV +2.32%E +0.239%K +0.266%G +0.006% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.34%EV -1.47%E -0.236%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.104%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.02%EV -1.48%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.13%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 9.18I 10.89%NM 10.44%EV -3.27%E -0.356%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV -7.95%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.02%EV -3.37%E -0.368%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.29%EV -5.11%E -0.850%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -6.05%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -7.80%E -0.891%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 22:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.00%EV -13.07%E -11.07%K -72.59%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -17.90%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.37%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.95%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.68%EV -17.11%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 22:50 |