L’École des cotesGuadalajara v Santos Laguna
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 73.67%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -11.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.58%73.68%73.73%76.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.241.251.3186.96%80.78%80.32%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Santos Laguna (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.54%9.49cote équitable
EV +21.18%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.427%
avec la cote maximale 11.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.28%10.44%10.56%11.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.359.0011.5013.33%10.69%11.11%8.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.79%6.33cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.478%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.54%15.88%15.70%17.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.816.006.5020.00%17.20%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.478%G +0.013% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.43%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -13.80%E -11.80%K -81.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.46%EV -15.28%E -13.28%K -101.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.37%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.86%EV +2.32%E +0.239%K +0.266%G +0.006% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.34%EV -1.47%E -0.236%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.104%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 22:29 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.02%EV -1.48%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.13%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 9.18I 10.89%NM 10.44%EV -3.27%E -0.356%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV -7.95%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.02%EV -3.37%E -0.368%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.29%EV -5.11%E -0.850%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -6.05%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -7.80%E -0.891%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 22:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 22:55 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 22:49 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.00%EV -13.07%E -11.07%K -72.59%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -17.90%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.37%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.95%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.68%EV -17.11%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 22:50 |