A Escola das Odds

Guadalajara v Santos Laguna

Início: 2026-03-14 23:07 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Guadalajara (Local)

Previsão 73.67%1.36odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -2.66%
Kelly -11.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.58%73.68%73.73%76.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.241.251.3186.96%80.78%80.32%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Previsão 10.54%9.49odd justa
EV +21.18%
Vantagem +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.427%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.28%10.44%10.56%11.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.509.359.0011.5013.33%10.69%11.11%8.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.79%6.33odd justa
EV +2.63%
Vantagem +0.405%
Kelly +0.478%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.54%15.88%15.70%17.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.816.006.5020.00%17.20%16.67%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.0%2026-03-14 22:20
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.0%2026-03-14 22:20
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.478%G +0.013%5.8%2026-03-14 22:45
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 23:05
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 76.43%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 23:05
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 23:05
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -13.80%E -11.80%K -81.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 23:05
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 76.46%EV -15.28%E -13.28%K -101.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.37%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-14 23:05
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-14 23:05
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:40
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:39
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.71I 10.30%NM 9.86%EV +2.32%E +0.239%K +0.266%G +0.006%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.34%EV -1.47%E -0.236%K -0.281%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 22:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.104%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 22:29
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.02%EV -1.48%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:05
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.13%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%9.18I 10.89%NM 10.44%EV -3.27%E -0.356%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV -7.95%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:00
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.02%EV -3.37%E -0.368%K -0.413%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.29%EV -5.11%E -0.850%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 23:05
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:40
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -6.05%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 22:40
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 23:00
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -7.80%E -0.891%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 22:38
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 22:30
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 23:05
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 23:00
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 22:55
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 22:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 23:00
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 22:40
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 73.00%EV -13.07%E -11.07%K -72.59%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -17.90%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-14 23:04
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 23:05
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.37%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.95%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.68%EV -17.11%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 23:04
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:45
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:45
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:35
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%2.7%2026-03-14 22:40
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%3.1%2026-03-14 22:50