La escuela de los momiosGuadalajara v Santos Laguna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 73.67%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -11.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.58%73.68%73.73%76.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.241.251.3186.96%80.78%80.32%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Santos Laguna (Visitante)
Predicción 10.54%9.49momio equitativo
EV +21.18%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.427%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.28%10.44%10.56%11.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.359.0011.5013.33%10.69%11.11%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.79%6.33momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +0.478%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.54%15.88%15.70%17.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.816.006.5020.00%17.20%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.478%G +0.013% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.43%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -13.80%E -11.80%K -81.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.46%EV -15.28%E -13.28%K -101.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.37%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.86%EV +2.32%E +0.239%K +0.266%G +0.006% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.34%EV -1.47%E -0.236%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.104%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 22:29 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.02%EV -1.48%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.13%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 9.18I 10.89%NM 10.44%EV -3.27%E -0.356%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV -7.95%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.02%EV -3.37%E -0.368%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.29%EV -5.11%E -0.850%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -6.05%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -7.80%E -0.891%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 22:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 22:55 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 22:49 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.00%EV -13.07%E -11.07%K -72.59%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -17.90%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.37%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.95%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.68%EV -17.11%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 22:50 |