مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guadalajara v Santos Laguna

البداية: 2026-03-14 23:07 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guadalajara (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.67%1.36السعر العادل
EV -3.49%
الأفضلية -2.66%
Kelly -11.25%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.58%73.68%73.73%76.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.241.251.3186.96%80.78%80.32%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santos Laguna (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.54%9.49السعر العادل
EV +21.18%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +2.02%
النمو +0.427%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.28%10.44%10.56%11.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.509.359.0011.5013.33%10.69%11.11%8.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.79%6.33السعر العادل
EV +2.63%
الأفضلية +0.405%
Kelly +0.478%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.54%15.88%15.70%17.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.816.006.5020.00%17.20%16.67%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.0%2026-03-14 22:20
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.28%EV +21.18%E +1.84%K +2.02%G +0.427%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%5.0%2026-03-14 22:20
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.478%G +0.013%5.8%2026-03-14 22:45
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 23:05
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.71%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -1.32%E -0.211%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 22:20
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 76.43%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 23:05
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +15.91%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.253%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -3.68%E -0.604%K -0.723%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -12.33%E -10.36%K -64.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 23:05
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -13.80%E -11.80%K -81.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 23:05
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 76.46%EV -15.28%E -13.28%K -101.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.37%EV +10.64%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.119%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-14 23:05
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.26%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.68%EV +4.85%E +0.487%K +0.541%G +0.026%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +1.05%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-14 23:05
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:40
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.333%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.74%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 22:39
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.71I 10.30%NM 9.86%EV +2.32%E +0.239%K +0.266%G +0.006%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.34%EV -1.47%E -0.236%K -0.281%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 22:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.104%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 22:29
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.02%EV -1.48%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:05
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.13%EV -3.49%E -2.66%K -11.25%G +0.000%9.18I 10.89%NM 10.44%EV -3.27%E -0.356%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV -7.95%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:00
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -9.38%E -7.63%K -40.79%G +0.000%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.02%EV -3.37%E -0.368%K -0.413%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.29%EV -5.11%E -0.850%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 23:05
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:40
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -6.05%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 22:40
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.82%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -5.16%E -0.574%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 23:00
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -7.80%E -0.891%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 22:38
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.43%E -5.07%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 22:30
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -5.70%E -4.45%K -20.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 23:05
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 23:00
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -7.17%E -5.69%K -27.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 22:55
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 22:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -21.05%E -4.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 22:40
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.59%E -9.66%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -10.43%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 23:00
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 22:40
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 73.00%EV -13.07%E -11.07%K -72.59%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.44%EV -13.07%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -17.90%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-14 23:04
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -4.96%E -3.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -8.65%E -6.97%K -36.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 23:05
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.37%EV -10.86%E -8.97%K -51.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.95%EV -15.70%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.68%EV -17.11%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 23:04
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:45
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -10.12%E -8.29%K -45.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -20.97%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 23:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:45
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-14 22:35
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.76%2.7%2026-03-14 22:40
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%3.1%2026-03-14 22:50