StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Guadalajara v Pumas

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 01:12 UTC

Slutresultat: Guadalajara 3–0 Pumas

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Guadalajara (Hemma)

Prognos 61.58%1.62rättvist odds
EV -3.93%
Fördel -2.52%
Kelly -7.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.70%61.61%61.57%63.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.10%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Pumas (Borta)

Prognos 16.98%5.89rättvist odds
EV +2.71%
Fördel +0.448%
Kelly +0.536%
Tillväxt +0.015%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.59%16.98%16.95%18.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.805.455.506.0520.83%18.36%18.18%16.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.44%4.66rättvist odds
EV +2.49%
Fördel +0.521%
Kelly +0.659%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.96%21.41%21.48%22.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.244.204.7825.64%23.58%23.81%20.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Guadalajara (Hemma): 61.58%; Pumas (Borta): 16.98%; Oavgjort: 21.44%. För Pumas (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.89. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.71%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016%3.4%2026-09-14 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016%3.4%2026-09-14 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.00%EV -3.91%E -0.691%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV +0.563%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-14 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -1.37%E -0.297%K -0.380%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -3.23%E -0.567%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 01:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -10.87%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 00:40
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.21%E -0.384%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -6.30%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 01:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.80%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +1.86%E +0.310%K +0.372%G +0.007%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 00:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-14 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-14 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 01:01
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.36%EV -4.08%E -0.722%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -8.23%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.85%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +2.71%E +0.448%K +0.536%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:45
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:51
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 00:50
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:05
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 00:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:01
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:01
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.42%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-14 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -18.51%E -3.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-14 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -13.79%E -9.85%K -34.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.54%EV -11.72%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-14 00:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-09-14 00:55
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-09-14 00:55