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Guadalajara v Pumas
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Guadalajara (Хозяева)
Прогноз 61.58%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.93%
Преимущество -2.52%
Kelly -7.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.56
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.70%61.61%61.57%63.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.10%67.11%64.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pumas (Гости)
Прогноз 16.98%5.89справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.71%
Преимущество +0.448%
Kelly +0.536%
Рост +0.015%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.59%16.98%16.95%18.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.455.506.0520.83%18.36%18.18%16.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.44%4.66справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.49%
Преимущество +0.521%
Kelly +0.659%
Рост +0.016%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.78
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.96%21.41%21.48%22.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.244.204.7825.64%23.58%23.81%20.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Guadalajara (Хозяева): 61.58%; Pumas (Гости): 16.98%; Ничья: 21.44%. Для исхода «Pumas (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.89. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.71%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.00%EV -3.91%E -0.691%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV +0.563%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -1.37%E -0.297%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -3.23%E -0.567%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -10.87%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.21%E -0.384%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -6.30%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.80%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +1.86%E +0.310%K +0.372%G +0.007% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.36%EV -4.08%E -0.722%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -8.23%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.85%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +2.71%E +0.448%K +0.536%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.42%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -18.51%E -3.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -13.79%E -9.85%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.54%EV -11.72%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |