Idioma:Español
Guadalajara v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 61.58%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -2.52%
Kelly -7.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.70%61.61%61.57%63.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.10%67.11%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 16.98%5.89momio equitativo
EV +2.71%
Ventaja +0.448%
Kelly +0.536%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.59%16.98%16.95%18.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.455.506.0520.83%18.36%18.18%16.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV +2.49%
Ventaja +0.521%
Kelly +0.659%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.96%21.41%21.48%22.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.244.204.7825.64%23.58%23.81%20.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Guadalajara (Local): 61.58%; Pumas (Visitante): 16.98%; Empate: 21.44%. Para Pumas (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.89. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.71%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.00%EV -3.91%E -0.691%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV +0.563%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -1.37%E -0.297%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -3.23%E -0.567%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -10.87%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.21%E -0.384%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -6.30%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.80%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +1.86%E +0.310%K +0.372%G +0.007% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.36%EV -4.08%E -0.722%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -8.23%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.85%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +2.71%E +0.448%K +0.536%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.42%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -18.51%E -3.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -13.79%E -9.85%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.54%EV -11.72%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |