Langue:Français
Guadalajara v Pumas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 61.58%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -7.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%61.61%61.57%63.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.10%67.11%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pumas (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.98%5.89cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 6.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.59%16.98%16.95%18.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.455.506.0520.83%18.36%18.18%16.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV +2.49%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +0.659%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 4.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.96%21.41%21.48%22.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.244.204.7825.64%23.58%23.81%20.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Guadalajara (Local) : 61.58% ; Pumas (Visiteur) : 16.98% ; Match nul : 21.44%. Pour Pumas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.89. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.05, soit une espérance positive de +2.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.00%EV -3.91%E -0.691%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV +0.563%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -1.37%E -0.297%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -3.23%E -0.567%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -10.87%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.21%E -0.384%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -6.30%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.80%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +1.86%E +0.310%K +0.372%G +0.007% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.36%EV -4.08%E -0.722%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -8.23%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.85%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +2.71%E +0.448%K +0.536%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 00:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 01:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.42%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -18.51%E -3.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -13.79%E -9.85%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.54%EV -11.72%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |