Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Guadalajara v Pumas

Początek: 2026-09-14 01:12 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Guadalajara 3–0 Pumas

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Guadalajara (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.58%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -3.93%
Przewaga -2.52%
Kelly -7.02%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.70%61.61%61.57%63.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.10%67.11%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pumas (Goście)

Prognoza 16.98%5.89kurs godziwy
EV +2.71%
Przewaga +0.448%
Kelly +0.536%
Wzrost +0.015%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.59%16.98%16.95%18.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.805.455.506.0520.83%18.36%18.18%16.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.44%4.66kurs godziwy
EV +2.49%
Przewaga +0.521%
Kelly +0.659%
Wzrost +0.016%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.78

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.96%21.41%21.48%22.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.244.204.7825.64%23.58%23.81%20.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Guadalajara (Gospodarze): 61.58%; Pumas (Goście): 16.98%; Remis: 21.44%. Dla wyniku Pumas (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.89. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.05, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.71%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016%3.4%2026-09-14 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.75%EV -7.48%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV +2.49%E +0.521%K +0.659%G +0.016%3.4%2026-09-14 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.00%EV -3.91%E -0.691%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV +0.563%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-14 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -1.37%E -0.297%K -0.380%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -3.23%E -0.567%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 01:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -10.87%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 00:40
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.21%E -0.384%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -6.30%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -1.54%E -0.265%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 01:05
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.80%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +1.86%E +0.310%K +0.372%G +0.007%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 00:39
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 00:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-14 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-14 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 01:01
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.36%EV -4.08%E -0.722%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -8.23%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.85%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +2.71%E +0.448%K +0.536%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.86%E -5.99%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -2.38%E -0.415%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:45
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.24%E -5.53%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -4.93%E -0.880%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 00:51
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.32%E -7.86%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -10.09%E -6.91%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 00:50
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:05
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.36%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.65%EV -13.16%E -3.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.63%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 00:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:01
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 01:01
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.12%E -3.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -8.33%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -11.94%E -8.35%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.42%E -2.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-14 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.38%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -18.51%E -3.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-14 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -13.79%E -9.85%K -34.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.54%EV -11.72%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.38%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-14 00:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-09-14 00:55
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-09-14 00:55