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Guadalajara v Puebla
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Guadalajara (Хозяева)
Прогноз 74.98%1.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.53%
Преимущество -1.95%
Kelly -8.43%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.49%74.93%74.92%77.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.131.231.241.3088.50%81.02%80.65%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Puebla (Гости)
Прогноз 9.17%10.91справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.03%
Преимущество +0.836%
Kelly +0.912%
Рост +0.091%
при максимальном коэффициенте 12.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.78%9.15%9.29%10.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.509.799.5012.0011.76%10.21%10.53%8.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 15.85%6.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.05%
Преимущество +0.469%
Kelly +0.554%
Рост +0.017%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.37%15.91%15.79%17.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.635.606.5020.00%17.76%17.86%15.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Guadalajara (Хозяева): 74.98%; Puebla (Гости): 9.17%; Ничья: 15.85%. Для исхода «Puebla (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 10.91. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 12.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +10.03%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.05%E +0.469%K +0.554%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 11.42I 8.76%NM 8.39%EV +4.71%E +0.413%K +0.452%G +0.021% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV +1.46%E +0.228%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.13%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 11.10I 9.01%NM 8.64%EV +1.78%E +0.160%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.02%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.72I 9.33%NM 8.82%EV -1.71%E -0.159%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.16%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.72%E -0.355%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.85%EV -15.28%E -13.52%K -117.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.57%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 01:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.86%EV -12.28%E -10.49%K -72.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.29%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -15.19%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.07%EV -15.64%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.83%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.14%EV -10.78%E -9.06%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -9.64%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |