Langue:Français
Guadalajara v Puebla
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 74.98%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -8.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%74.93%74.92%77.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.231.241.3088.50%81.02%80.65%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Puebla (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.17%10.91cote équitable
EV +10.03%
Avantage +0.836%
Kelly +0.912%
Croissance +0.091%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.78%9.15%9.29%10.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.509.799.5012.0011.76%10.21%10.53%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.85%6.31cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.469%
Kelly +0.554%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.37%15.91%15.79%17.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.635.606.5020.00%17.76%17.86%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Guadalajara (Local) : 74.98% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 9.17% ; Match nul : 15.85%. Pour Puebla (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.91. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.00, soit une espérance positive de +10.03%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.05%E +0.469%K +0.554%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 11.42I 8.76%NM 8.39%EV +4.71%E +0.413%K +0.452%G +0.021% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV +1.46%E +0.228%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.13%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 11.10I 9.01%NM 8.64%EV +1.78%E +0.160%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.02%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.72I 9.33%NM 8.82%EV -1.71%E -0.159%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.16%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.72%E -0.355%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.85%EV -15.28%E -13.52%K -117.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.57%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 01:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.86%EV -12.28%E -10.49%K -72.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.29%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -15.19%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.07%EV -15.64%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.83%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.14%EV -10.78%E -9.06%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -9.64%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |