La escuela de los momiosGuadalajara v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 74.98%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -8.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%74.93%74.92%77.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.231.241.3088.50%81.02%80.65%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 9.17%10.91momio equitativo
EV +10.03%
Ventaja +0.836%
Kelly +0.912%
Crecimiento +0.091%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.78%9.15%9.29%10.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.509.799.5012.0011.76%10.21%10.53%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.85%6.31momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.554%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%15.91%15.79%17.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.635.606.5020.00%17.76%17.86%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.05%E +0.469%K +0.554%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 11.42I 8.76%NM 8.39%EV +4.71%E +0.413%K +0.452%G +0.021% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV +1.46%E +0.228%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.13%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 11.10I 9.01%NM 8.64%EV +1.78%E +0.160%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 00:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.02%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.72I 9.33%NM 8.82%EV -1.71%E -0.159%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.16%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.72%E -0.355%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| BetUS | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Bovada | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.85%EV -15.28%E -13.52%K -117.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.57%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 01:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.86%EV -12.28%E -10.49%K -72.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.29%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -15.19%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.07%EV -15.64%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.83%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.14%EV -10.78%E -9.06%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -9.64%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |