مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guadalajara v Puebla

البداية: 2026-04-19 01:07 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Guadalajara 5–0 Puebla

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guadalajara (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.98%1.33السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -1.95%
Kelly -8.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.49%74.93%74.92%77.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.231.241.3088.50%81.02%80.65%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Puebla (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.17%10.91السعر العادل
EV +10.03%
الأفضلية +0.836%
Kelly +0.912%
النمو +0.091%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.78%9.15%9.29%10.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.509.799.5012.0011.76%10.21%10.53%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.85%6.31السعر العادل
EV +3.05%
الأفضلية +0.469%
Kelly +0.554%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.37%15.91%15.79%17.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.635.606.5020.00%17.76%17.86%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.05%E +0.469%K +0.554%G +0.017%7.1%2026-04-19 01:05
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 22:35
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.42I 8.76%NM 8.39%EV +4.71%E +0.413%K +0.452%G +0.021%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV +1.46%E +0.228%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.4%2026-04-19 00:55
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.13%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.64%EV +1.78%E +0.160%K +0.176%G +0.003%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 01:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 00:45
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:50
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.02%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%10.72I 9.33%NM 8.82%EV -1.71%E -0.159%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.16%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 01:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.72%E -0.355%K -0.392%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 00:20
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:05
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 21:10
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 01:05
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:59
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 00:50
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 23:40
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 21:05
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 75.85%EV -15.28%E -13.52%K -117.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.57%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 00:50
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:00
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:09
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 00:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 00:15
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:15
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:15
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:00
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 01:04
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 00:50
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.86%EV -12.28%E -10.49%K -72.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.29%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -15.19%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 00:50
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.07%EV -15.64%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.83%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 00:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:15
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:15
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 00:50
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 23:30
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.14%EV -10.78%E -9.06%K -56.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -9.64%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 00:50
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 00:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 00:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-04-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-04-19 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-04-19 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-04-19 00:55
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-04-19 01:05
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%3.0%2026-04-19 00:35