A Escola das Odds

Guadalajara v Puebla

Início: 2026-04-19 01:07 UTC

Final: Guadalajara 5–0 Puebla

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Guadalajara (Local)

Previsão 74.98%1.33odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -8.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.49%74.93%74.92%77.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.231.241.3088.50%81.02%80.65%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Puebla (Visitante)

Previsão 9.17%10.91odd justa
EV +10.03%
Vantagem +0.836%
Kelly +0.912%
Crescimento +0.091%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.78%9.15%9.29%10.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.509.799.5012.0011.76%10.21%10.53%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.85%6.31odd justa
EV +3.05%
Vantagem +0.469%
Kelly +0.554%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.37%15.91%15.79%17.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.635.606.5020.00%17.76%17.86%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +10.03%E +0.836%K +0.912%G +0.091%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.05%E +0.469%K +0.554%G +0.017%7.1%2026-04-19 01:05
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 76.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +5.45%E +0.473%K +0.519%G +0.028%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV -0.918%E -0.147%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 22:35
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%11.42I 8.76%NM 8.39%EV +4.71%E +0.413%K +0.452%G +0.021%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV +1.46%E +0.228%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.4%2026-04-19 00:55
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.13%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.64%EV +1.78%E +0.160%K +0.176%G +0.003%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.23%EV -0.125%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 01:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 00:45
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +0.861%E +0.078%K +0.086%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:50
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.02%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%10.72I 9.33%NM 8.82%EV -1.71%E -0.159%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.16%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 01:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.72%E -0.355%K -0.392%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 00:20
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:05
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 21:10
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 01:05
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:59
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 00:50
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 23:40
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 21:05
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 75.85%EV -15.28%E -13.52%K -117.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.57%EV -8.31%E -0.831%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 00:50
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:00
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -10.14%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:09
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 00:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -2.53%E -1.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -8.84%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 00:15
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:15
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.22%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:15
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:00
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 01:04
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 00:50
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.86%EV -12.28%E -10.49%K -72.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.89%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.29%EV -11.53%E -9.77%K -64.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -15.19%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 00:50
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.07%EV -15.64%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.83%EV -7.26%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 00:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:15
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.81%E -2.33%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:15
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -9.28%E -7.67%K -44.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -4.88%E -0.813%K -0.976%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 00:50
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.78%E -6.32%K -33.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.39%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 23:30
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.48%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -20.73%E -4.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.14%EV -10.78%E -9.06%K -56.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -9.64%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 00:50
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 00:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.01%EV -10.03%E -8.36%K -50.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -22.06%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -16.77%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 00:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-04-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-04-19 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-04-19 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-04-19 00:55
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-04-19 01:05
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%3.0%2026-04-19 00:35