Школа коэффициентов

Guadalajara v Cruz Azul

Начало: 2026-05-17 01:07 UTC

Итог: Guadalajara 1–2 Cruz Azul

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Guadalajara (Хозяева)

Прогноз 41.43%2.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.21%
Преимущество -0.938%
Kelly -1.63%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.99%41.47%41.48%42.89%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.42%45.45%42.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cruz Azul (Гости)

Прогноз 30.58%3.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.908%
Преимущество +0.275%
Kelly +0.395%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.77%30.55%30.53%31.71%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.82%32.79%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.99%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.03%
Преимущество +0.286%
Kelly +0.396%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.77%27.98%28.00%29.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.253.253.6134.72%30.72%30.77%27.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-17 01:05
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-17 01:05
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -2.21%E -0.938%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.07%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 00:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.84%E -0.574%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:31
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 01:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 00:49
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 00:19
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 08:20
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -2.46%E -0.770%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -5.40%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 20:51
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:54
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 00:45
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.11%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.20%EV +0.602%E +0.183%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 01:01
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 00:55
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 00:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 00:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 00:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 23:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:05
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:05
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:50
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 00:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 00:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 00:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 08:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.43%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.32%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 00:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 01:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 00:41
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.26%EV -13.82%E -6.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -10.71%E -3.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 00:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:50
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 00:50
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 00:50
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 00:41
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:01
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.47%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.64%EV -14.38%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.89%EV -16.88%E -5.68%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -15.91%E -5.79%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.40%E -6.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-17 00:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-05-17 01:05
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%5.1%2026-05-17 01:00