Die Schule der Quoten

Guadalajara v Cruz Azul

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 01:07 UTC

Endstand: Guadalajara 1–2 Cruz Azul

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Guadalajara (Heim)

Prognose 41.43%2.41faire Quote
EV -2.21%
Vorteil -0.938%
Kelly -1.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.99%41.47%41.48%42.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.42%45.45%42.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Cruz Azul (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.58%3.27faire Quote
EV +0.908%
Vorteil +0.275%
Kelly +0.395%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.77%30.55%30.53%31.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.82%32.79%30.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.99%3.57faire Quote
EV +1.03%
Vorteil +0.286%
Kelly +0.396%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.77%27.98%28.00%29.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.253.253.6134.72%30.72%30.77%27.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-17 01:05
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-17 01:05
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -2.21%E -0.938%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.07%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 00:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.84%E -0.574%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:31
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 01:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 00:49
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 00:19
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 08:20
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -2.46%E -0.770%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -5.40%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 20:51
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:54
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 00:45
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.11%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.20%EV +0.602%E +0.183%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 01:01
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 00:55
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 00:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 00:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 00:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 23:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:05
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:05
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:50
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 00:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 00:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 00:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 08:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.43%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.32%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 00:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 01:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 00:41
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.26%EV -13.82%E -6.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -10.71%E -3.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 00:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:50
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 00:50
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 00:50
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 00:41
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:01
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.47%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.64%EV -14.38%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.89%EV -16.88%E -5.68%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -15.91%E -5.79%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.40%E -6.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-17 00:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-05-17 01:05
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%5.1%2026-05-17 01:00