La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Guadalajara v Cruz Azul
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Guadalajara (Casa)
Previsione 41.43%2.41quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -0.938%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.99%41.47%41.48%42.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.42%45.45%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Cruz Azul (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.58%3.27quota equa
EV +0.908%
Vantaggio +0.275%
Kelly +0.395%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%30.55%30.53%31.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.82%32.79%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.99%3.57quota equa
EV +1.03%
Vantaggio +0.286%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.61
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.77%27.98%28.00%29.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.253.253.6134.72%30.72%30.77%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -2.21%E -0.938%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.07%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.84%E -0.574%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 00:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| GTbets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -2.46%E -0.770%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -5.40%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 20:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 16:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 00:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.11%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.20%EV +0.602%E +0.183%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 01:01 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.43%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.32%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 01:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-17 00:41 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.26%EV -13.82%E -6.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -10.71%E -3.67%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-17 00:41 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 01:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.47%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.64%EV -14.38%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.89%EV -16.88%E -5.68%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -15.91%E -5.79%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.40%E -6.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 01:00 |