A Escola das Odds

Guadalajara v Cruz Azul

Início: 2026-05-17 01:07 UTC

Final: Guadalajara 1–2 Cruz Azul

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Guadalajara (Local)

Previsão 41.43%2.41odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -0.938%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.99%41.47%41.48%42.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.42%45.45%42.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Previsão 30.58%3.27odd justa
EV +0.908%
Vantagem +0.275%
Kelly +0.395%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%30.55%30.53%31.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.82%32.79%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.99%3.57odd justa
EV +1.03%
Vantagem +0.286%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.77%27.98%28.00%29.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.253.253.6134.72%30.72%30.77%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-17 01:05
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-17 01:05
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -2.21%E -0.938%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.07%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 00:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.84%E -0.574%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:31
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 01:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 00:49
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 00:19
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 08:20
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -2.46%E -0.770%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -5.40%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 20:51
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:54
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 00:45
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.11%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.20%EV +0.602%E +0.183%K +0.263%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 01:01
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 00:55
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 00:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 00:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 00:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 23:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:05
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:05
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:50
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 00:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 00:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 00:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 08:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.43%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.32%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 00:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 01:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 00:41
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.26%EV -13.82%E -6.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -10.71%E -3.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 00:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:50
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 00:50
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 00:50
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 00:41
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 01:01
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.47%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.64%EV -14.38%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.89%EV -16.88%E -5.68%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -15.91%E -5.79%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.40%E -6.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-17 00:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-05-17 01:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-05-17 01:05
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%5.1%2026-05-17 01:00