La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Guadalajara v Cruz Azul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 41.43%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.938%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.99%41.47%41.48%42.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.42%45.45%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruz Azul (Visitante)
Predicción 30.58%3.27momio equitativo
EV +0.908%
Ventaja +0.275%
Kelly +0.395%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%30.55%30.53%31.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.053.3036.36%32.82%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.286%
Kelly +0.396%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%27.98%28.00%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.6134.72%30.72%30.77%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +1.03%E +0.286%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -2.21%E -0.938%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.07%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.84%E -0.574%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:31 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 00:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| GTbets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.07%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -2.46%E -0.770%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -5.40%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 20:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV +0.908%E +0.275%K +0.395%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 16:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 00:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.11%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.20%EV +0.602%E +0.183%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -6.80%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 01:01 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -9.67%E -4.44%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -0.621%E -0.191%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -3.87%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.88%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.15%E -0.672%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.85%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 08:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.26%EV -6.43%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.32%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.24%E -4.26%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 01:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-17 00:41 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.26%EV -13.82%E -6.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -10.71%E -3.67%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.64%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -14.64%E -7.11%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-17 00:41 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.32%E -3.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 01:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.47%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.64%EV -14.38%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.89%EV -16.88%E -5.68%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -12.99%E -6.18%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -15.91%E -5.79%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -19.40%E -6.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-17 00:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 01:00 |