Language:English
Cruz Azul v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 42.06%2.38fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.43%42.19%42.04%45.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.172.182.3050.25%46.16%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 30.89%3.24fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.584%
Kelly +0.838%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.80%30.83%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.3036.36%33.16%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.06%3.70fair odd
EV -0.429%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%27.01%27.13%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.6833.33%29.55%29.41%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 42.06%; Pachuca (Visit): 30.89%; Draw: 27.06%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.93%E +0.584%K +0.838%G +0.016% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -4.53%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -0.853%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -3.40%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 01:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%EV -3.63%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -0.429%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 00:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 01:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 01:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -12.95%E -6.25%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-05 01:02 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.83%E -6.28%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.08%EV -16.31%E -8.20%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.44%E -5.21%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |