L’École des cotes

Cruz Azul v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 01:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prévision 42.06%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.43%42.19%42.04%45.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.992.172.182.3050.25%46.16%45.87%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.89%3.24cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.584%
Kelly +0.838%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.80%30.83%32.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.3036.36%33.16%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.06%3.70cote équitable
EV -0.429%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.88%27.01%27.13%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6833.33%29.55%29.41%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.93%E +0.584%K +0.838%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:05
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -4.53%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -0.853%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -3.40%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:05
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 01:01
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 01:04
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%EV -3.63%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -0.429%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 01:04
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 01:04
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 01:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 00:58
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 00:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 01:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 01:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 01:05
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 01:03
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 01:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 01:03
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -12.95%E -6.25%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-05 01:02
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.83%E -6.28%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.08%EV -16.31%E -8.20%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.44%E -5.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-04-05 01:05
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-04-05 01:04
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-05 01:05