مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruz Azul v Pachuca

البداية: 2026-04-05 01:07 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruz Azul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.06%2.38السعر العادل
EV -3.27%
الأفضلية -1.42%
Kelly -2.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.43%42.19%42.04%45.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.992.172.182.3050.25%46.16%45.87%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pachuca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.89%3.24السعر العادل
EV +1.93%
الأفضلية +0.584%
Kelly +0.838%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%30.80%30.83%32.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.023.003.3036.36%33.16%33.33%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.06%3.70السعر العادل
EV -0.429%
الأفضلية -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.88%27.01%27.13%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.6833.33%29.55%29.41%27.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.93%E +0.584%K +0.838%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:05
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -4.53%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -0.853%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -3.40%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:05
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 01:01
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 01:04
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%EV -3.63%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -0.429%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 01:04
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 01:04
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 01:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 00:58
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 00:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 01:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 01:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 01:05
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 01:03
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 01:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 01:03
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -12.95%E -6.25%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-05 01:02
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.83%E -6.28%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.08%EV -16.31%E -8.20%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.44%E -5.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 01:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-04-05 01:05
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-04-05 01:04
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-05 01:05