La scuola delle quote

Cruz Azul v Pachuca

Inizio: 2026-04-05 01:07 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruz Azul (Casa)

Previsione 42.06%2.38quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.43%42.19%42.04%45.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.172.182.3050.25%46.16%45.87%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pachuca (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.89%3.24quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.584%
Kelly +0.838%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%30.80%30.83%32.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.023.003.3036.36%33.16%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.06%3.70quota equa
EV -0.429%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.88%27.01%27.13%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.6833.33%29.55%29.41%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.93%E +0.584%K +0.838%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:05
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -4.53%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -0.853%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -3.40%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:04
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 01:05
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 01:01
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 01:04
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%EV -3.63%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -0.429%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 01:04
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 01:04
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 01:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 00:58
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 00:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 01:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 01:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 01:05
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 01:03
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 01:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 01:03
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -12.95%E -6.25%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-05 01:02
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.83%E -6.28%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.08%EV -16.31%E -8.20%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.44%E -5.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-04-05 01:05
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-04-05 01:04
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-05 01:05