La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Pachuca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 42.06%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.43%42.19%42.04%45.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.172.182.3050.25%46.16%45.87%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pachuca (Visitante)
Predicción 30.89%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.584%
Kelly +0.838%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%30.80%30.83%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.3036.36%33.16%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.06%3.70momio equitativo
EV -0.429%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.160%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.88%27.01%27.13%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6833.33%29.55%29.41%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV +1.93%E +0.584%K +0.838%G +0.016% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV +0.383%E +0.118%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -4.53%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -0.853%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -3.40%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -9.16%E -4.24%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 01:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.42%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%EV -3.63%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -0.429%E -0.116%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.24%E -0.340%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.84%E -5.11%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 00:58 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -14.21%E -6.96%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.96%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 01:03 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 01:03 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.35%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -12.95%E -6.25%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-05 01:02 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.79%E -6.72%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.83%E -6.28%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.08%EV -16.31%E -8.20%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.44%E -5.21%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |