Language:English
Cruz Azul v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.15%43.21%44.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.122.122.2350.25%47.15%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.399%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%28.74%28.64%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.5434.72%31.25%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.15%3.55fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%28.11%28.15%29.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.5634.72%30.48%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 43.21%; Guadalajara (Visit): 28.65%; Draw: 28.15%. For Guadalajara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -6.24%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV +1.41%E +0.399%K +0.556%G +0.008% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.59%EV -5.43%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -1.74%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 17:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -11.86%E -5.81%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -10.62%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.17%EV -14.02%E -7.05%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -6.06%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-14 01:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.50%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.94%E -6.58%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |