Школа коэффициентов

Cruz Azul v Guadalajara

Начало: 2026-05-14 02:00 UTC

Итог: Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cruz Azul (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.21%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.65%
Преимущество -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.86%43.15%43.21%44.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.992.122.122.2350.25%47.15%47.17%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Guadalajara (Гости)

Прогноз 28.65%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.41%
Преимущество +0.399%
Kelly +0.556%
Рост +0.008%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.54

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.14%28.74%28.64%30.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.203.203.5434.72%31.25%31.25%28.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.15%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.204%
Преимущество +0.057%
Kelly +0.080%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.56

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.17%28.11%28.15%29.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.283.303.5634.72%30.48%30.30%28.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -6.24%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV +1.41%E +0.399%K +0.556%G +0.008%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.59%EV -5.43%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -1.74%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 01:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 01:55
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 01:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 23:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 01:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 17:28
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 01:40
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:29
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 01:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 16:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:39
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 01:30
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 01:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 01:55
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:40
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 22:39
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 01:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -11.86%E -5.81%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 01:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -10.62%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 01:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 01:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-14 01:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-14 01:55
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-14 01:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.17%EV -14.02%E -7.05%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-14 01:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -6.06%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-14 01:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-13 16:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.50%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.94%E -6.58%K -10.07%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-14 01:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-14 01:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-05-14 01:55