Szkoła Kursów

Cruz Azul v Guadalajara

Początek: 2026-05-14 02:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Cruz Azul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.21%2.31kurs godziwy
EV -3.65%
Przewaga -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.86%43.15%43.21%44.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.992.122.122.2350.25%47.15%47.17%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Guadalajara (Goście)

Prognoza 28.65%3.49kurs godziwy
EV +1.41%
Przewaga +0.399%
Kelly +0.556%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.54

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.14%28.74%28.64%30.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.203.203.5434.72%31.25%31.25%28.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.15%3.55kurs godziwy
EV +0.204%
Przewaga +0.057%
Kelly +0.080%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.17%28.11%28.15%29.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.283.303.5634.72%30.48%30.30%28.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -6.24%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV +1.41%E +0.399%K +0.556%G +0.008%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.59%EV -5.43%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -1.74%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 01:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 01:55
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 01:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 23:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 01:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 17:28
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 01:40
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:29
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 01:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 16:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:39
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 01:30
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 01:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 01:55
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:40
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 22:39
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 01:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -11.86%E -5.81%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 01:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -10.62%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 01:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 01:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 01:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-14 01:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-14 01:55
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-14 01:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-14 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.17%EV -14.02%E -7.05%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-14 01:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -6.06%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-14 01:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-13 16:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.50%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.94%E -6.58%K -10.07%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-14 01:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-14 01:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-14 01:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-05-14 01:55