مدرسة الاحتمالاتCruz Azul v Guadalajara
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Cruz Azul (المضيف)
التنبؤ 43.21%2.31السعر العادل
EV -3.65%
الأفضلية -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.86%43.15%43.21%44.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.992.122.122.2350.25%47.15%47.17%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Guadalajara (الضيف)
التنبؤ 28.65%3.49السعر العادل
EV +1.41%
الأفضلية +0.399%
Kelly +0.556%
النمو +0.008%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.14%28.74%28.64%30.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.203.203.5434.72%31.25%31.25%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.15%3.55السعر العادل
EV +0.204%
الأفضلية +0.057%
Kelly +0.080%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.56
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.17%28.11%28.15%29.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.283.303.5634.72%30.48%30.30%28.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -6.24%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV +1.41%E +0.399%K +0.556%G +0.008% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.59%EV -5.43%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -1.74%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 17:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 16:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:39 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -11.86%E -5.81%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -10.62%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.17%EV -14.02%E -7.05%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -6.06%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-14 01:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.50%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.94%E -6.58%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |