L’École des cotesCruz Azul v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prévision 43.21%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%43.15%43.21%44.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.992.122.122.2350.25%47.15%47.17%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.65%3.49cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.399%
Kelly +0.556%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.14%28.74%28.64%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.5434.72%31.25%31.25%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.15%3.55cote équitable
EV +0.204%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.080%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.17%28.11%28.15%29.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.5634.72%30.48%30.30%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -6.24%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV +1.41%E +0.399%K +0.556%G +0.008% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.59%EV -5.43%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -1.74%E -0.507%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV +0.204%E +0.057%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 17:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 16:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:39 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -10.56%E -5.10%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -11.86%E -5.81%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -10.62%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.71%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.17%EV -14.02%E -7.05%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -6.06%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-14 01:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -11.43%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -15.49%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.59%E -6.79%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -17.50%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.94%E -6.58%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-14 01:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-05-14 01:55 |