Language:English
Cruz Azul v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 62.02%1.61fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.34%62.16%62.09%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.23%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 15.80%6.33fair odd
EV +6.68%
Edge +0.990%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.16%15.68%15.81%18.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.775.756.7520.00%17.34%17.39%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.18%4.51fair odd
EV +0.897%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%22.16%22.10%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.104.104.5527.78%24.41%24.39%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 62.02%; Atlas (Visit): 15.80%; Draw: 22.18%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.33. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.16%EV +0.518%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -2.01%E -0.324%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.17%E -5.60%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-10 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.22%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.06%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.46%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.48%EV -1.99%E -0.449%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 14:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.09%E -0.708%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 02:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 02:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -12.55%E -8.90%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.49%EV -14.41%E -10.44%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.40%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -14.65%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.34%EV -12.85%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.82%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |