La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cruz Azul v Atlas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 62.02%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -5.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.34%62.16%62.09%64.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.23%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlas (Visitante)
Predicción 15.80%6.33momio equitativo
EV +6.68%
Ventaja +0.990%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.16%15.68%15.81%18.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.775.756.7520.00%17.34%17.39%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.18%4.51momio equitativo
EV +0.897%
Ventaja +0.197%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.24%22.16%22.10%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.104.5527.78%24.41%24.39%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.16%EV +0.518%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -2.01%E -0.324%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.17%E -5.60%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-10 02:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.22%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.06%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.46%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.48%EV -1.99%E -0.449%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 14:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.09%E -0.708%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 02:30 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 02:48 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -12.55%E -8.90%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.49%EV -14.41%E -10.44%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.40%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -14.65%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.34%EV -12.85%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.82%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |