مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruz Azul v Atlas

البداية: 2026-05-10 03:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cruz Azul 1–0 Atlas

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruz Azul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.02%1.61السعر العادل
EV -3.25%
الأفضلية -2.08%
Kelly -5.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.34%62.16%62.09%64.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.23%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.80%6.33السعر العادل
EV +6.68%
الأفضلية +0.990%
Kelly +1.16%
النمو +0.078%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.16%15.68%15.81%18.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.775.756.7520.00%17.34%17.39%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.18%4.51السعر العادل
EV +0.897%
الأفضلية +0.197%
Kelly +0.253%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.24%22.16%22.10%23.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.104.104.5527.78%24.41%24.39%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.5%2026-05-10 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.5%2026-05-10 02:44
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 03:10
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 02:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 02:40
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.16%EV +0.518%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.001%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 03:09
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -2.01%E -0.324%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:44
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 02:55
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 02:54
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.17%E -5.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-10 02:49
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 03:09
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 03:09
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.22%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 03:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 02:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 02:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.06%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.46%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.48%EV -1.99%E -0.449%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:23
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.09%E -0.708%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 03:09
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 02:40
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:54
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:54
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:29
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 02:30
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 02:48
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 02:54
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 02:54
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 02:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 02:40
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 02:54
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 02:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:04
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 02:55
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 02:25
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 02:55
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 02:55
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -12.55%E -8.90%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.49%EV -14.41%E -10.44%K -37.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-10 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.40%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -14.65%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.34%EV -12.85%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 03:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 02:39
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.82%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 02:55
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 03:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 02:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 02:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-10 03:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-10 03:10