L’École des cotesFrançais
Cruz Azul v Atlas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prévision 62.02%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -5.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.34%62.16%62.09%64.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.23%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atlas (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.80%6.33cote équitable
EV +6.68%
Avantage +0.990%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.078%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.16%15.68%15.81%18.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.775.756.7520.00%17.34%17.39%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.18%4.51cote équitable
EV +0.897%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.253%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.24%22.16%22.10%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.104.104.5527.78%24.41%24.39%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.44%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.32%EV +6.68%E +0.990%K +1.16%G +0.078% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.897%E +0.197%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +2.73%E +0.420%K +0.496%G +0.014% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.16%EV +0.518%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -2.01%E -0.324%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -3.59%E -0.589%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.54%E -0.813%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.17%E -9.41%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -5.17%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -20.17%E -5.60%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-10 02:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.22%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -6.75%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.33%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.06%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.46%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.48%EV -1.99%E -0.449%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 14:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -8.96%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.93%EV -3.09%E -0.708%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 02:30 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.76%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 02:48 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.07%E -6.95%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -9.12%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 02:40 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -9.91%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.59%E -5.09%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 02:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.30%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.63%E -3.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -12.55%E -8.90%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.49%EV -14.41%E -10.44%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.40%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -14.65%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.34%EV -12.85%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -17.03%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 02:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.69%E -7.42%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.82%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.30%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -20.98%E -4.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |